Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.001952 0.002045 0.002143 0.002253 0.002374 0.002505 0.002657
2025-06-22 0.001799 0.001930 0.002074 0.002245 0.002445 0.002674 0.002961
2025-06-29 0.001676 0.001828 0.002000 0.002213 0.002474 0.002790 0.003211
2025-07-06 0.001590 0.001757 0.001952 0.002200 0.002515 0.002916 0.003485
2025-07-13 0.001484 0.001653 0.001853 0.002113 0.002452 0.002897 0.003559
2025-07-20 0.001431 0.001608 0.001821 0.002104 0.002486 0.003005 0.003820
2025-07-27 0.001396 0.001582 0.001810 0.002120 0.002549 0.003159 0.004175
2025-08-03 0.001352 0.001541 0.001777 0.002103 0.002566 0.003243 0.004432
2025-08-10 0.001327 0.001523 0.001771 0.002121 0.002631 0.003408 0.004860
2025-08-17 0.001292 0.001491 0.001745 0.002109 0.002649 0.003498 0.005172
2025-08-24 0.001256 0.001456 0.001712 0.002084 0.002647 0.003553 0.005426
2025-08-31 0.001248 0.001456 0.001728 0.002129 0.002753 0.003806 0.006178
2025-09-07 0.001230 0.001444 0.001725 0.002148 0.002824 0.004011 0.006921
2025-09-14 0.001200 0.001413 0.001696 0.002126 0.002826 0.004089 0.007377
2025-09-21 0.001167 0.001378 0.001660 0.002093 0.002804 0.004119 0.007714
2025-09-28 0.001143 0.001354 0.001638 0.002078 0.002814 0.004212 0.008297
2025-10-05 0.001100 0.001303 0.001576 0.002000 0.002707 0.004051 0.007975
2025-10-12 0.001081 0.001285 0.001560 0.001992 0.002724 0.004153 0.008627
2025-10-19 0.001070 0.001276 0.001559 0.002005 0.002780 0.004350 0.009785
2025-10-26 0.001051 0.001256 0.001539 0.001990 0.002782 0.004425 0.010517
2025-11-02 0.001042 0.001250 0.001540 0.002007 0.002844 0.004651 0.012241
2025-11-09 0.001026 0.001233 0.001523 0.001995 0.002852 0.004748 0.013424
2025-11-16 0.001007 0.001213 0.001501 0.001973 0.002837 0.004785 0.014313